THE BIG CON
- Sawyer’s island long con is a complicated one. Here’s how it works:
Sawyer: ”It works by getting someone to ask you to do something like it’s their idea, but it’s not their idea, it’s your idea. But none of that matters because the one thing you need for the long con we ain’t got — money.”
- Sawyer doesn’t have money (and his con isn’t particularly ”long” either), but he does have a desperate man and a beachful of scared people. They’re just not scared enough…
- Sawyer convinces Charlie to fake an attempt to kidnap Sun. Why Sun? Because she has a protective husband with a temper. Sawyer makes sure that the kidnapping looks fake enough, and hints at the idea of Jack and Ana-Lucia’s ”army” being behind the attack. Sawyer knows his fellow survivors well.
- When Sawyer tells Kate the fake kidnapping might have been an attempt to scare the survivors, he knows that Kate will suspect Ana-Lucia. He also knows Kate trusts Jack, and that she would tell him about her suspicions, rather than suspect him as well.
- Sawyer knows Jack cares about Ana, but doesn’t entirely trust her (as evidenced in the scene where she asks him the combination of the armory). He would be offended, but still wonder if it’s true.
- When Jack starts to doubt Ana-Lucia and asks her about her alibi, she realizes Kate must have given him the idea. All according to Sawyer’s plan.
- Obviously, Sawyer also knows Jack and Locke would argue with each other over the situation.
- Jin would want to protect his wife, and Jack’s instinct would be to break his promise to Locke and start handing out guns to the survivors. He’s been wanting to build an army, after all. As Sawyer explains in his flashback:
Sawyer: ”Everybody’s scared. The thing they’re scared of most is missing an opportunity.”
- Sawyer has now created tension between Kate, Ana-Lucia, Jack and Locke. None of them trust each other any more, and all eyes are turned away from Sawyer himself. Smart move.
- Here’s where Sawyer gets very lucky: Locke decides to move the guns, and he’s, as Charlie puts it, ”more worried about his sodding guns than being followed”. Sawyer’s long con is smart and logical for the most part, but to be able to predict that Locke wouldn’t notice Charlie following him is something else. We’ve already seen Locke outsmart Charlie in that regard in Everybody Hates Hugo.
- It’s possible that, even if Charlie did get caught, Sawyer knows Locke wouldn’t trust him on his word if he told him it was Sawyer’s idea. On this island, that’s all the evidence he would ever get on the matter.
- In either case, Kate could vouch for Sawyer, as he made sure he was on the beach with her during the rainstorm.
- The trust issues Sawyer has created amongst the survivors will not end after the true perpetrator is revealed. In the next episode, Locke will change the combination to the armory without telling Jack about it. Henry Gale will further poison Locke’s mind and convince him to take matters into his own hands.
Ana-Lucia: ”Does Jack know you’re coming to me with this?”
Locke: ”We’ve got a serious problem, Ana-Lucia. All of us. I’m taking the necessary steps to solve it. I don’t need Jack’s permission to talk with you, because right now there’s a man sitting in a room in my hatch, and I want him out.” (The Whole Truth)
Next: New Sheriff In Town…